Understanding the game of football through analytics
In a sport with so much data, why not analyze it?
CURRENT ARTICLES
The College-to-NFL Edge Rusher model
A new model that predicts NFL edge rusher performance using college statistics (and RAS). If you want to find an elite pass rusher, while avoiding any possible busts, then you need to read this article.
2025 NFL Draft: How deep is this edge class?
Based on the College-to-NFL Edge Rusher model, how many edge players are worthy of those 1st round grades? Is Abdul Carter truly generational (or is he even the best prospect in this class)?
PAST ARTICLES
The best single college statistic to predict NFL QB performance
Is it turnover-worthy plays, big-time throws, or accuracy?
What were the elite NFL QBs good at in college? It’s not what you think.
The most accurate predictor of NFL QB Performance: the College-to-NFL QB Prediction model
A new model that predicts NFL QB performance using college statistics with 86% accuracy – yes, it’s that accurate.
2025 NFL Draft: Which QBs are elite and worth a 1st round pick? And, which are not?
Based on the College-to-NFL QB model, there is one great QB prospect and one good prospect (and that’s it). Can you guess who?
FUTURE ARTICLES
Why athleticism doesn’t matter for WRs?
WRs who run fast and jump high are exciting, but rarely translate to sustained success in the NFL
The College-to-NFL Wide Receiver model
A new model that predicts NFL WR performance using college statistics.
2025 NFL Draft: Who are the WRs worthy of 1st round picks?
Based on the College-to-NFL WR model, who actually is worthy of a 1st round pick?
Who aM I
I have spent over two decades as a data analyst in the technology field. After seeing so many failures in talent evaluation of my favorite sport, I focused my talents on understanding why.
(That picture is not me)